Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000329 0.000369 0.000411 0.000460 0.000515 0.000574 0.000643
2025-03-16 0.000285 0.000341 0.000405 0.000483 0.000576 0.000684 0.000819
2025-03-23 0.000250 0.000316 0.000395 0.000498 0.000628 0.000787 0.000996
2025-03-30 0.000218 0.000289 0.000379 0.000502 0.000664 0.000872 0.001159
2025-04-06 0.000196 0.000271 0.000371 0.000513 0.000709 0.000971 0.001348
2025-04-13 0.000176 0.000254 0.000361 0.000518 0.000744 0.001059 0.001530
2025-04-20 0.000157 0.000235 0.000345 0.000514 0.000766 0.001128 0.001691
2025-04-27 0.000147 0.000227 0.000344 0.000530 0.000816 0.001242 0.001926
2025-05-04 0.000136 0.000216 0.000339 0.000538 0.000854 0.001339 0.002142
2025-05-11 0.000126 0.000206 0.000332 0.000543 0.000888 0.001433 0.002361
2025-05-18 0.000115 0.000194 0.000321 0.000539 0.000905 0.001500 0.002543
2025-05-25 0.000108 0.000187 0.000316 0.000546 0.000941 0.001600 0.002785
2025-06-01 0.000100 0.000177 0.000308 0.000546 0.000968 0.001688 0.003020
2025-06-08 0.000092 0.000169 0.000301 0.000547 0.000995 0.001780 0.003272
2025-06-15 0.000086 0.000161 0.000295 0.000550 0.001026 0.001881 0.003547
2025-06-22 0.000079 0.000153 0.000286 0.000546 0.001043 0.001959 0.003787
2025-06-29 0.000075 0.000148 0.000283 0.000553 0.001083 0.002080 0.004120
2025-07-06 0.000071 0.000142 0.000278 0.000556 0.001113 0.002187 0.004433
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000135 0.000269 0.000550 0.001127 0.002262 0.004690
2025-07-20 0.000063 0.000133 0.000271 0.000567 0.001185 0.002430 0.005150
2025-07-27 0.000060 0.000129 0.000269 0.000574 0.001226 0.002566 0.005554
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000126 0.000267 0.000580 0.001264 0.002697 0.005961
2025-08-10 0.000054 0.000120 0.000259 0.000575 0.001279 0.002782 0.006273